What is a good source of information to help conduct accurate political risk forecasting?

Overview

The Economic and Political Risk Evaluator forecasts economic and geopolitical risks in 164 countries through in-depth profiles and event-driven updates.

Global risk coverage

Profiles and ratings for 164 countries, weighting political, economic, business and security factors.

Economic forecasts and briefings

Access to reports and forecast data for 200 countries, with event-driven briefings.

Political, regulatory, and operational analysis

Analysis of political events from partners networks to monitor impact of political and operational issues in 164 countries.

Visualisation and custom ratings

Adjust weightings for each risk factor to fit your views or compare scores.

The risks we analyse

The evaluator covers 11 risk variables that are the most relevant for assessing political and economic risk.

Economic and financial

• Sovereign: the risk that a government will default on its debt.
• Exchange rate: the risk of a significant movement in the exchange rate.
• Trade credit: the risk that a trading partner will not pay its obligation.

Political

• Political stability: the stability of the current government and the overall political system.
• Ideology and policy: ideological and policy orientation of the current and future government.
• International relations: with neighbours, trade partners, and the international community.

Business and market

• Business environment: risks relating to the influence of societal and structural factors on business activity, including state and non-state actions.
• Operating cost: the risk that operating costs rise faster than recent trends.
• Market demand: the risk that market demand could be significantly different to recent trends.

Security and social cohesion

• Security environment: the outlook for the domestic security environment – encompassing war, crime, violent unrest, terrorism, insurgency, and other security issues.
• Social cohesion: the outlook for social stability, the prospect of social unrest, and the significance of sociocultural issues to policy making.

Brochure

Economic and Political Risk Evaluator

Download the full brochure to learn more about this service.

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“Oxford Economics’ data and forecasts form the backbone of our demand models. The global consistency and granular detail available in their expansive dataset allows us to focus on the variables most relevant to our business.”

Resources and events

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